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BIA/Kelsey Reports Local TV Revenues Down 7.8% in 2011; Presidential Election and Increase in Online Expected to Boost Numbers to $20.3 Billion This Year

Mobile and online accelerating by 45% CAGR in the next five years and returning the industry to revenues last seen in 2006.

CHANTILLY, Va.. (May 1, 2012) – BIA/Kelsey, adviser to companies in the local media industry, reports today that local television over-the-air revenues in 2011 dipped 7.8 percent from the previous year, due primarily to the economy and the odd-year election cycle, according to the first edition of its quarterly Investing In Television® Market Report. In 2011 stations took in $17.9 billion in over-the-air revenues, compared with $19.4 billion in 2010. In 2011 local television stations earned $535 million from online sources, an 18.7 percent jump compared with $450 million in 2010. In 2012 combined over-the-air and online revenues are forecast to rise to $20.3 billion, based on the presidential and other elections, overall improved consumer spending, and growth in online ad spending. In terms of transactions, BIA/Kelsey reports the industry saw an uptick in transactions in 2011 over 2010, with 50 station sales totaling $1.1 billion.

“Local advertising industry revenues typically rise and fall depending on the political year,” said Mark Fratrik, vice president and chief economist, BIA/Kelsey. “Advertising income for local television is trending upward and showing signs of rebound, with a good first quarter for many publicly held television companies. Still, the 2012 over-the-air television advertising market is not what it was 11 years ago.”

The chart below includes BIA/Kelsey’s five-year forecast for the local television industry:

TV Station Revenues

According to BIA/Kelsey’s U.S. Local Media Forecast (2011-2016) and local market ad spending analysis, Media Ad View Reports, the local advertising ecosystem continues to be dominated by traditional media, with television’s share at 13.9 percent in 2011 and projected to grow to 14.3 percent in 2016.

Click to expand/collapse graphics:

2011 U.S. Local Media Revenues 2012 U.S. Local Media Revenues

Rick Ducey, BIA/Kelsey’s managing director and program director of Video Local Media, sees local television continuing to get a significant boost from online revenues. This edition of the Investing In Television® Market Report forecasts mobile and online video ad revenues will experience an overall five-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of nearly 45 percent. Based on BIA/Kelsey’s five-year projections, by 2016 local television stations will have combined revenues of $22.8 billion, a return to 2006 income levels, due in large part to digital offerings.

“Local television stations are establishing increased expertise in packaging, pricing and selling cross-platform and multi-device ad-supported content services for their viewers,” Ducey said. “We anticipate greater utilization of smartphones and tablets for engaged audience experiences with local streaming video content including news, weather and sports monetized both by advertising and sponsorships.”

Investing In Television®

A comprehensive profile of all 210 television markets (plus Puerto Rico) and television market projections through 2016 are available in the first-quarter edition of Investing In Television® Market Report, published by BIA/Kelsey and the 2012 Investing In Television® Ownership Report. Individual television market reports are now available on demand with station competitive and performance information including BIA/Kelsey's estimated advertising revenues, technical data, ownership and acquisition information, and more. BIA/Kelsey also publishes investment reference guides and provides data services for the television and radio industries.

Media Ad View Reports

Covering 12 media, 12 ad categories and more than 93 subcategories, BIA/Kelsey’s Media Ad View reports track local advertising spending by media for the most recent year and for five years out (2011-2016) for every local market. Markets are organized by the 362 Core Based Statistical Areas (CBSAs) or TV/Radio markets.

For more information on BIA/Kelsey’s Investing In publications or Media Ad View reports, call (800) 331-5086 or email info@biakelsey.com.

About BIA/Kelsey

BIA/Kelsey advises companies in the local media space through consulting and valuation services, research, Continuous Advisory Services and conferences. Since 1983 BIA/Kelsey has been a resource to the media, mobile advertising, telecommunications, Yellow Pages and electronic directory markets, as well as to government agencies, law firms and investment companies looking to understand trends and revenue drivers. BIA/Kelsey’s annual conferences draw executives from across industries seeking expert guidance on how companies are finding innovative ways to grow. Additional information is available at http://www.biakelsey.com, on the company’s Local Media Watch blog and on Twitter at http://twitter.com/BIAKelsey.

For more information contact:
Robert Udowitz
For BIA/Kelsey
(703) 621-8060
rudowitz@biakelsey.com

Eileen Pacheco
For BIA/Kelsey
(508) 888-7478
eileen@tango-group.com

 

 

        

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